All noemes
Trial · NCT03777059

Noeme · eizacw93

Future
neurology

Forecast horizon — calibration-scored at resolution.

By 2028, oral CGRP antagonists will be first-line preventive therapy for episodic migraine, surpassing beta-blockers in new prescriptions.

Your probability this resolves TRUE

0% (impossible)

50%

100% (certain)

25
50
75

Proper-scoring-rule preview

If TRUE: Brier 0.250 · log 0.69 · +8 rep
If FALSE: Brier 0.250 · log 0.69 · -1 rep
Kelly 25.0% ≈ 250 rep

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Evidence stream

1 event · 0 snapshots

neutral

Registry data

NCT03777059

Apr 18, 2026

Expert reactions · 0

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Source publication

A Phase 3, Multicenter, Randomized, Double-blind, Placebo-controlled, Parallel-group Study to Evaluate the Efficacy, Safety, and Tolerability of Oral Atogepant for the Prevention of Migraine in Participants With Episodic Migraine (ADVANCE)