Forecast horizon — calibration-scored at resolution.
By 2028, imaging-based (CTP/MR) selection for late-window thrombectomy will be reimbursed by CMS without pre-authorization.
Your probability this resolves TRUE
0% (impossible)
50%
100% (certain)
Proper-scoring-rule preview
Your position is kept on this device until you sign in.
Evidence stream
2 events · 1 snapshot
posterior drift
71% → 71% (0pp · 1 point)
Registry data
Apr 18, 2026
Peer-reviewed paper
Apr 18, 2026
Expert reactions · 0
Sign in to post a take, cite a related claim, or flag a methodological concern.
No reactions yet. Be the first expert to post a take, cite a related claim, or flag a methodological concern.
Source publication
Thrombectomy for Stroke at 6 to 16 Hours with Selection by Perfusion Imaging
Gregory W. Albers et al. · New England Journal of Medicine · 2018
· openalex W2787867590
Semantically related
Nearest claims in the expert-corpus vector space. Ordered by cosine distance — lower is closer.
0.1225
By 2028, CT-perfusion will be standard at the majority of thrombectomy-capable centers, matching the EXTEND-IA selection criteria.
0.1276
By 2028, late-window thrombectomy (6–24h) will be explicitly endorsed by AHA/ASA guidelines as standard-of-care in qualifying LVO patients across at least 80% of US comprehensive stroke centers.
0.1776
By 2028, median door-to-puncture time at thrombectomy centers will meet or beat the ESCAPE benchmark of ≤60 minutes.
0.1810
A perfusion-imaging mismatch ratio of ≥1.8 with infarct volume <70 ml reliably identifies late-window stroke patients who benefit from thrombectomy, supporting its use as a patient-selection criterion beyond 6 hours.
0.1817
The DEFUSE-3 trial's stated primary conclusion — Imaging-selected patients benefit from thrombectomy 6–16h after last-known-well. — replicates in independent cohorts.
0.1871
The clinical-infarct mismatch paradigm, stratified by age (<80 vs ≥80 years), successfully identifies patients with intracranial ICA or proximal MCA occlusion who benefit from late-window thrombectomy.