All noemes

Noeme · rjydkl2n

Published finding — does the expert body still believe it?

Durvalumab consolidation therapy after platinum-based chemoradiotherapy significantly improves median progression-free survival (16.8 months vs. 5.6 months; HR 0.52) compared to placebo in patients with unresectable stage III NSCLC who did not progress after chemoradiotherapy.

TL;DR · AI-generated

tldr@v2.0.0
semanticscholar.org

Progression‐free survival was significantly longer with durvalumab than with placebo, and safety was similar between the groups, and the secondary end points also favored durvalsumab.

Author-implied confidence

95%

Status

DRAFT

Your position — does this noeme still stand given current evidence?

Consensus 95%

0% (impossible)

50%

100% (certain)

25
50
75

Proper-scoring-rule preview

If TRUE: Brier 0.250 · log 0.69 · +8 rep
If FALSE: Brier 0.250 · log 0.69 · -1 rep
Kelly 25.0% ≈ 250 rep
vs. consensus: 1.20 bits

Your position is kept on this device until you sign in.

Evidence stream

1 event · 1 snapshot

posterior drift

98% → 98% (0pp · 1 point)

posterior drift: 98% → 98%
supports

Peer-reviewed paper

PMID 28885881

Apr 18, 2026

+3pp

Expert reactions · 0

Sign in to post a take, cite a related claim, or flag a methodological concern.

No reactions yet. Be the first expert to post a take, cite a related claim, or flag a methodological concern.

Source publication

Durvalumab after Chemoradiotherapy in Stage III Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer.

4.5k citations · S2 2.6k
102 influential
FWCI 316.4 · Landmark
OA · bronze
30 authors · 83% ORCID

· openalex W2753065806 · s2 bc101251