All noemes

Noeme · pcbqacp0

Published finding — does the expert body still believe it?

Grade 3 or 4 adverse events, including pneumonia, occur at similar rates in durvalumab-treated (29.9%) and placebo-treated (26.1%) stage III NSCLC patients receiving consolidation therapy after chemoradiotherapy.

TL;DR · AI-generated

tldr@v2.0.0
semanticscholar.org

Progression‐free survival was significantly longer with durvalumab than with placebo, and safety was similar between the groups, and the secondary end points also favored durvalsumab.

Author-implied confidence

78%

Status

DRAFT

Your position — does this noeme still stand given current evidence?

Consensus 78%

0% (impossible)

50%

100% (certain)

25
50
75

Proper-scoring-rule preview

If TRUE: Brier 0.250 · log 0.69 · +8 rep
If FALSE: Brier 0.250 · log 0.69 · -1 rep
Kelly 25.0% ≈ 250 rep
vs. consensus: 0.27 bits

Your position is kept on this device until you sign in.

Evidence stream

1 event · 1 snapshot

posterior drift

90% → 90% (0pp · 1 point)

posterior drift: 90% → 90%
supports

Peer-reviewed paper

PMID 28885881

Apr 18, 2026

+12pp

Expert reactions · 0

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Source publication

Durvalumab after Chemoradiotherapy in Stage III Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer.

4.5k citations · S2 2.6k
102 influential
FWCI 316.4 · Landmark
OA · bronze
30 authors · 83% ORCID

· openalex W2753065806 · s2 bc101251