All noemes
Trial · NCT03887455

Noeme · atb8l9bl

Historical
neurology

Published finding — does the expert body still believe it?

The CLARITY-AD (lecanemab) trial's stated primary conclusion — Lecanemab slows cognitive decline in early Alzheimer disease with amyloid confirmation, with a non-trivial ARIA safety signal. — replicates in independent cohorts.

Your position — does this noeme still stand given current evidence?

0% (impossible)

50%

100% (certain)

25
50
75

Proper-scoring-rule preview

If TRUE: Brier 0.250 · log 0.69 · +8 rep
If FALSE: Brier 0.250 · log 0.69 · -1 rep
Kelly 25.0% ≈ 250 rep

Your position is kept on this device until you sign in.

Evidence stream

2 events · 1 snapshot

posterior drift

71% → 71% (0pp · 1 point)

posterior drift: 71% → 71%
neutral

Registry data

NCT03887455

Apr 18, 2026

supports

Peer-reviewed paper

+21pp

Expert reactions · 0

Sign in to post a take, cite a related claim, or flag a methodological concern.

No reactions yet. Be the first expert to post a take, cite a related claim, or flag a methodological concern.

Source publication

Lecanemab in Early Alzheimer’s Disease

Christopher H. van Dyck et al. · New England Journal of Medicine · 2023

4.9k citations
FWCI 530.4 · Landmark
OA · bronze
19 authors · 42% ORCID

· openalex W4310461604