All noemes

Noeme · hocffrpz

Published finding — does the expert body still believe it?

Surveillance CT detection of Wilms tumor recurrence does not improve 5-year overall survival after relapse compared with chest X-ray and abdominal ultrasound surveillance (65% vs 73%, P=0.20).

TL;DR · AI-generated

tldr@v2.0.0
semanticscholar.org

In patients with favorable-histology WT, elimination of CT scans from surveillance programs is unlikely to compromise survival but would result in substantial reduction in radiation exposure and health care costs.

Author-implied confidence

80%

Status

DRAFT

Your position — does this noeme still stand given current evidence?

Consensus 80%

0% (impossible)

50%

100% (certain)

25
50
75

Proper-scoring-rule preview

If TRUE: Brier 0.250 · log 0.69 · +8 rep
If FALSE: Brier 0.250 · log 0.69 · -1 rep
Kelly 25.0% ≈ 250 rep
vs. consensus: 0.32 bits

Your position is kept on this device until you sign in.

Evidence stream

1 event · 1 snapshot

posterior drift

91% → 91% (0pp · 1 point)

posterior drift: 91% → 91%
supports

Peer-reviewed paper

PMID 30335557

Apr 18, 2026

+11pp

Expert reactions · 0

Sign in to post a take, cite a related claim, or flag a methodological concern.

No reactions yet. Be the first expert to post a take, cite a related claim, or flag a methodological concern.

Source publication

Impact of Surveillance Imaging Modality on Survival After Recurrence in Patients With Favorable-Histology Wilms Tumor: A Report From the Children's Oncology Group.

54 citations · S2 33
FWCI 1.6 · Field-average
OA · bronze
12 authors · 83% ORCID

· openalex W2896066577 · s2 2eb63559