All noemes

Noeme · h7ozq7m0

Published finding — does the expert body still believe it?

Pembrolizumab (10 mg/kg every 2 weeks) improves 6-month progression-free survival to 47.3% versus 26.5% for ipilimumab (HR 0.58, P<0.001) in patients with advanced melanoma.

TL;DR · AI-generated

tldr@v2.0.0
semanticscholar.org

The anti-PD-1 antibody pembrolizumab prolonged progression-free survival and overall survival and had less high-grade toxicity than did ipilimumab in patients with advanced melanoma.

Author-implied confidence

95%

Status

DRAFT

Your position — does this noeme still stand given current evidence?

Consensus 95%

0% (impossible)

50%

100% (certain)

25
50
75

Proper-scoring-rule preview

If TRUE: Brier 0.250 · log 0.69 · +8 rep
If FALSE: Brier 0.250 · log 0.69 · -1 rep
Kelly 25.0% ≈ 250 rep
vs. consensus: 1.20 bits

Your position is kept on this device until you sign in.

Evidence stream

1 event · 1 snapshot

posterior drift

98% → 98% (0pp · 1 point)

posterior drift: 98% → 98%
supports

Peer-reviewed paper

PMID 25891173

Apr 18, 2026

+3pp

Expert reactions · 0

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Source publication

Pembrolizumab versus Ipilimumab in Advanced Melanoma.

5.8k citations
151 influential
FWCI 322.8 · Landmark
OA · bronze
22 authors · 91% ORCID

· openalex W2152897456 · s2 0dac3ea8